The dispute had an immediate knock-on effect, as many
European countries receive their gas through the Ukraine.
Russia accounts
for about one-third of EU gas imports, and one-fifth of the gas used in EU. As Russia
punished Ukraine
by turning off the tap, other European countries suffered too. Soon Italy,
Hungary, France,
Germany and at
least seven central and eastern European countries were all experiencing
problems with supply.
It highlighted just how dependent Europe
has become on Russian Gas, especially with declining reserves from the North
Sea. Britain,
for example, is changing from being an exporter of natural gas into a major
importer as its supplies from the North Sea run out. Whats
more Britain
and Europes dependency is set to get worse. According
to EU estimates, some two-thirds of energy requirements and three-quarters of
its gas will be imported by 2020. Most of this will come from Russia.
Much to the relief of
Europes
politicians,
Russia
soon buckled under intense international pressure and signed a compromise deal
with
Ukraine. Although
the gas is back on, the ramifications of the dispute could be felt in
Europe
and even globally for generations to come.
Firstly there has been a belated realization that Europe
is too dependent on Russia
for gas. The EUs Energy Commissioner
Andris Piebalgs even flagged the prospect of a common energy policy for Europe. The situation has shown how vulnerable the Union
is to shortages of gas supply, he said. The EU needs a clearer and more
collective and cohesive policy on security of energy supply, he argues.
Although a common energy policy is seen as unrealistic, it
could mean European nations pulling together to assist in developing cleaner,
greener energy sources which would be a good thing. But that is the end of the
good news. The gas dispute is a massive boost to the European nuclear lobby who
are pressing for an unprecedented nuclear building programme.
Until very recently, nuclear power had no future in the
Western world as politicians had been reticent to build new nuclear plants. This
was for a number of highly important reasons, mainly because it had failed to establish itself as either clean, cheap, safe or even reliable.
No
new nuclear power stations have been ordered in the UK
for over twenty years. In Europe, Germany,
Belgium, the Netherlands
and Sweden are
committed to closing existing plants. Only one is being built in Western
Europe in Finland.
There are continuing fears over the safety of nuclear plants
that have not diminished since the Chernobyl
disaster (ironically in Ukraine)
in 1986. There are concerns over pollution from radiation from nuclear sites
such as Sellafield that has discharged radiation
to the Irish Sea making it the most radioactive in the
world.
The industry had not been able to find a long-term solution to
the problems of highly dangerous and radioactive nuclear waste. In the UK,
we have over 10,000 tonnes of radioactive waste, a figure set to increase 25-fold
when our current nuclear facilities are decommissioned. Moreover, since September 11th 2001, there had been
new and real fears that nuclear plants might be subject to a horrific terrorist
attack or nuclear material might be stolen to make a dirty bomb.
But it has been the unravelling of the economics of nuclear
power that has been its undoing. Nuclear proponents once famously promised
electricity that was too cheap to meter, but the dream became a nightmare as
costs spiralled. But production and operating costs of nuclear are
comparatively small compared to the costs of decommissioning the power plants
and making them safe.
The cost to the UK
tax-payer has been estimated to be tens of billions of British pounds. Just
last week, the boss of the Dounreay nuclear power station in Scotland
admitted it would cost £70 billion to clean up the surrounding sea bed from the
plant.
All rational sense would suggest that nuclear power should
be consigned to history. But rather than that happening, we now face a nuclear
revival for three main reasons. The problem of climate change, predominantly
caused by the burning of fossil fuels, has risen up the scientific and
political agenda.
Secondly, many experts believe that European countries, such
as Britain, are
facing an energy gap, where we do not have enough energy to fulfil demand as
our old nuclear power stations come to the end of their lives, and we try and
reduce our use of fossil fuels. Thirdly, because of events such as the Iraq
war, Western politicians have become increasingly worried about energy security
and finding secure supplies of energy.
In November last year, Tony Blair
announced that the government would be looking at these issues in a wide
ranging energy review. Privately Blair is said to have become convinced of the
need for new nuclear plants, much to the delight of the nuclear industry.
Then the Russian / Ukraine
gas dispute happened and it heightened fears over energy security and it was a
further gift for the nuclear industry. They argue that we cannot rely on Russia
so we must build nuclear power stations at home.
Like a gathering storm, the pro-nuclear lobby has quietly
and slowly been gathering political momentum. They now believe their time has
come again. They argue that we can solve climate change with nuclear power. They
argue that we can solve energy security with nuclear power. The pro-nuclear lobby is gearing itself up
for the most important battle it has ever faced to persuade people it is a
panacea for their energy problems. If they win the battle we can expect a new
generation of nuclear power plants in the UK
followed soon by other countries.
This would be a huge folly. Nuclear power is not the answer
to climate change. It is not the answer to energy security. These new nuclear
power plants will generate thousands of tonnes of waste which we have no
strategy to get rid of. It will leave a lethal legacy for our children and
their children too.
There is also an intimate link between nuclear power and
nuclear weapons. You cannot separate civil nuclear power from military power. Civil nuclear programmes feed into military
programmes. So these new power stations are likely to give rise to a new
generation of weapons. And in todays
volatile and uncertain world that is the last thing we need, especially if the
nuclear technology ends up in the wrong hands something that only seems a
matter of time.
Last week, Greenpeace warned that any new nuclear stations
were a "catastrophic gift to terrorists" which "could claim millions of lives. Greenpeace has compiled a dossier of terrorist risks that includes over 40 cases of potential security breaches at UK
nuclear facilities and the fact that detailed plans of UK nuclear sites were
found in a car linked to the July 2005 London bombings.
Over the next few months we will witness a public relations
campaign by the nuclear lobby that will be as deceitful as the one that led us
to believe that there were weapons of mass destruction in Iraq.
But whereas Saddam Husseins weapons of mass destruction were found to be non-existent,
these new nuclear power stations will be real threat to all.
Next month, SpinWatch will be releasing a new web-site
called Nuclear Spin that highlights just who is pushing the nuclear agenda in
the
UK Watch
this space.